Here are the key takeaways from our Alberta survey

• If an election were held today, 43% of decided voters would cast their vote for the United Conservative Party, while another 36% would vote for the NDP. The Republican Party picks up 11% of the vote, while the Alberta Liberals and Alberta Party pick up 5% and 4%, respectively.
• The RPA is cutting into the UCP vote share in rural Alberta, leaving the UCP in a more vulnerable state against their NDP rivals, while the UCP holds the advantage in Calgary.
• Our survey also tested the Progressive Conservatives in a hypothetical vote intention, which found the NDP finishing with 30% of decided voters, while the PC’s earn 28%, and the UCP 25%. The RPA retains 11% of the vote, while the Liberals pick up the remaining 4%.
• The NDP, UCP, and PCs are in a competitive three-way race in Calgary and rural Alberta, while the NDP find themselves nine points ahead of the PC’s in Edmonton.

Methodology: This IVR survey was conducted from September 17-20, 2025, with 2626 Albertans randomly selected to participate. The margin of error associated with this survey is ±2% (19 times out of 20).