Here are the key takeaways from our national survey

• Throughout the final stretch of the federal election, we asked Canadians how they plan to vote:
  • 44% of Canadians say they would vote for Carney’s Liberals, while 39% opt for Poilievre’s Conservatives. Another 7% say they’d vote for Singh’s NDP, with Blanchet’s Bloc at 7% (29% in Quebec).
  • The Liberals hold the lead in British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada. The Liberals are also within the margin of error with the Conservatives in Saskatchewan/Manitoba.
  • Poilievre’s Conservatives hold a comfortable lead in Alberta, while narrowly outperforming the Liberals among men.

Methodology: This IVR survey was conducted from April 18-23, 2025, with 4057 Canadians randomly selected to participate, with a total of 3895 decided voters. The margin of error associated with this survey is ±2% (19 times out of 20).